Two broadly related articles make me ask the question in the headline. First, TechCrunch reports that according to comScore Facebook has finally caught MySpace in the US. It can now be unequivocally said that Facebook is the largest social network. Does MySpace become the new Friendster — around but limping along? What do you think?
The second piece appeared in iMedia Connection this morning. It argues, audaciously, that Twitter will be obsolete “in a year or less.” Part of the argument is about spam, but also about the fickle nature of audiences in the social media market.
It seems almost impossible to believe that Twitter will be “obsolete” this time next year or that Facebook will take a big fall. However it does seem to be true that “replacement cycles” for online networks are getting shorter.
Do you think Twitter will be on the way out by this time next year? And do you think a potential succcessor to FB will emerge in the near future — or has already emerged? By the same token, do you think that MySpace is now in decline?